Prognosis Research: Sharing our expertise

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Posted on 30 November 2017

The Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences hosted its first 3-day course on Statistical Methods for Risk Prediction and Prognostic Models on 14th to 16th November 2017. The course was a huge success, welcoming participants from far and wide (UK, The Netherlands, Austria, Denmark and Thailand).

Patients and their carers often want to know the risk of developing an adverse health outcome over time, and estimates of future risk (prognosis) allow the patient and their families to put clinical diagnosis into context to help form clinical decisions and treatment strategies. The course was therefore developed due to the increasing interest in risk prediction and prognostic models, which are statistical models that estimate an individual’s outcome risk.

The Research Institute’s Centre for Prognosis Research was developed in partnership with PROGRESS, and aims to act as a beacon for high quality prognosis research by demonstrating effective study design, expert statistical analysis and through the delivery of cutting edge research to understand, predict and improve the future of clinical outcomes.

Following the success of the Prognosis Research Summer School which runs in June/July each year, the new course was developed to provide more in-depth information on the statistical aspects of prediction modelling to leave participants feeling confident in implementing core statistical methods for the development and validation of prognostic models within clinical research. Led by a team of experts from Keele University, the University of Oxford and the University of Liverpool, the course comprises of lectures and computer practical sessions to give participants both the knowledge and some hands-on experience of using the methods.

Professor Richard Riley said “I’m delighted the course was such a huge success and we received some really great feedback. It shows that the Centre for Prognosis Research has a lot of visibility amongst health researchers across the globe and we only hope we can continue to promote and share our expertise in this field”.

Due to the success of this year’s course, the team are pleased to announce that it will be running again on 7th-9th March 2018. Visit the website to find out more and book your place.