Dr John Belcher

Title: Senior Lecturer
Phone: +44 (0)1782 733653
Email: j.belcher@keele.ac.uk
Location: MacKay Building Room 2.14
Keele University, Staffordshire ST5 5BG, United Kingdom
Role: ISTM Research theme: Healthcare Technologies
Contacting me: On Monday and Wednesday I usually am in the Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, but in the maths office Tuesday, Thursday, Friday.
John_Belcher_200x200

After completing A levels in Maths, Further Maths, French and History, I studied Mathematics at Lancaster University from 1982-1985. I then accepted a SERC funded Research Assistant post to develop techniques for modelling irregularly spaced ocean core data for three years, while studying part time for an MPhil degree. In 1988 I was appointed as a Lecturer in Statistics in the Mathematics Department at Keele as part of a joint initiative between the University and the North Staffordshire Hospital Trust. In 1997 I obtained my PhD in statistics using project data generated through this link.

I left Keele in 2003, but returned as a Teaching Fellow for 2004-2007. For the next two years I worked as a Lecturer in Statistics at the North Wales Clinical School in Wrexham, before being appointed to Senior Lecturer in Biostatistics within the Arthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre in 2009 and acted as a Front Line Adviser for Medical Statistics for the West Midlands Research Design Service.

ISTM Research theme: Healthcare Technologies

I am interested in the modelling of longitudinal and time series data. The former includes applications of Linear Mixed Models and GEEs to longitudinal survey data collected in the Centre, while the latter can encompass intervention analysis and segmented regression techniques applied to prescription data. The applications of multivariate longitudinal data, involving a mixture of binary, ordinal and continuous outcome data, are currently being explored.

I am also interested in the teaching of Medical Statistics and regularly attend the Conference for Teachers of Medical Statistics, “Burwalls”. 

Selected Publications

  • Whittle R, Peat G, Belcher J, Collins GS, Riley RD. 2018. Measurement error and timing of predictor values for multivariable risk prediction models are poorly reported. J Clin Epidemiol. link> doi> full text>
  • Kigozi J, Jowett S, Nicholl BI, Lewis M, Bartlam B, Green D, Belcher J, Clarkson K, Lingard Z, Pope C, Chew-Graham CA, Croft P, Hay EM, Peat G, Mallen CD. 2018. Cost-utility Analysis of Routine Anxiety and Depression Screening in Patients Consulting for Osteoarthritis: results from the POST Trial. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). link> doi>
  • Clarson LE, Hider SL, Belcher J, Roddy E, Mallen CD. 2017. Factors Influencing Allopurinol Initiation in Primary Care. Ann Fam Med, vol. 15(6), 557-560. link> doi>
  • Prior JA, Ranjbar H, Belcher J, Mackie SL, Helliwell T, Liddle J, Mallen CD. Diagnostic delay for giant cell arteritis - a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Med, vol. 15(1), 120. link> doi> full text>
  • Prior JA, Ranjbar H, Belcher J, Mackie S, Mallen CD. 2016. DIAGNOSTIC DELAY FOR GIANT CELL ARTERITIS (GCA). A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS. ANNALS OF THE RHEUMATIC DISEASES, vol. 75, 1092. link> doi> full text>

Full Publications List show

Journal Articles

  • Whittle R, Peat G, Belcher J, Collins GS, Riley RD. 2018. Measurement error and timing of predictor values for multivariable risk prediction models are poorly reported. J Clin Epidemiol. link> doi> full text>
  • Kigozi J, Jowett S, Nicholl BI, Lewis M, Bartlam B, Green D, Belcher J, Clarkson K, Lingard Z, Pope C, Chew-Graham CA, Croft P, Hay EM, Peat G, Mallen CD. 2018. Cost-utility Analysis of Routine Anxiety and Depression Screening in Patients Consulting for Osteoarthritis: results from the POST Trial. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). link> doi>
  • Clarson LE, Hider SL, Belcher J, Roddy E, Mallen CD. 2017. Factors Influencing Allopurinol Initiation in Primary Care. Ann Fam Med, vol. 15(6), 557-560. link> doi>
  • Prior JA, Ranjbar H, Belcher J, Mackie SL, Helliwell T, Liddle J, Mallen CD. Diagnostic delay for giant cell arteritis - a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Med, vol. 15(1), 120. link> doi> full text>
  • Prior JA, Ranjbar H, Belcher J, Mackie S, Mallen CD. 2016. DIAGNOSTIC DELAY FOR GIANT CELL ARTERITIS (GCA). A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS. ANNALS OF THE RHEUMATIC DISEASES, vol. 75, 1092. link> doi> full text>
  • Vivekanantham A, Blagojevic-Bucknall M, Clarkson K, Belcher J, Mallen CD, Hider SL. 2018. How common is depression in patients with polymyalgia rheumatica?. Clin Rheumatol, vol. 37(6), 1633-1638. link> doi>
  • Paskins Z, Jinks C, Mahmood W, Jayakumar P, Sangan CB, Belcher J, Gwilym S. 2017. Public priorities for osteoporosis and fracture research: results from a general population survey. Arch Osteoporos, vol. 12(1), 45. link> doi> full text>
  • Mallen CD, Nicholl BI, Lewis M, Bartlam B, Green D, Jowett S, Kigozi J, Belcher J, Clarkson K, Lingard Z, Pope C, Chew-Graham CA, Croft P, Hay EM, Peat G. 2017. The effects of implementing a point-of-care electronic template to prompt routine anxiety and depression screening in patients consulting for osteoarthritis (the Primary Care Osteoarthritis Trial): A cluster randomised trial in primary care. PLoS Med, vol. 14(4), e1002273. link> doi> full text>
  • Li Q, Pan J, Belcher J. 2016. Bayesian inference for joint modelling of longitudinal continuous, binary and ordinal events. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, vol. 25(6), 2521-2540. link> doi>
  • Ukachukwu V, Duncan R, Belcher J, Marshall M, Stefanik J, Crossley K, Thomas MJ, Peat G. Clinical Significance of Medial Versus Lateral Compartment Patellofemoral Osteoarthritis: Cross-Sectional Analyses in an Adult Population With Knee Pain. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken), vol. 69(7), 943-951. link> doi> full text>
  • Walsh CP, Prior JA, Chandratre P, Belcher J, Mallen CD, Roddy E. Illness perceptions of gout patients and the use of allopurinol in primary care: baseline findings from a prospective cohort study. BMC Musculoskelet Disord, vol. 17(1), 394. link> doi> full text>
  • Wilkie R, Blagojevic-Bucknall M, Belcher J, Chew-Graham C, Lacey RJ, McBeth J. 2016. Widespread pain and depression are key modifiable risk factors associated with reduced social participation in older adults: A prospective cohort study in primary care. Medicine (Baltimore), vol. 95(31), e4111. link> doi> full text>
  • Simons G, Belcher J, Morton C, Kumar K, Falahee M, Mallen CD, Stack RJ, Raza K. Symptom Recognition and Perceived Urgency of Help-Seeking for Rheumatoid Arthritis and Other Diseases in the General Public: A Mixed Method Approach. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken), vol. 69(5), 633-641. link> doi> full text>
  • Jervis S, Saunders T, Belcher J, Skinner D. 2015. Evaluating three hundred and fifty-two admissions and predictors of re-admissions for epistaxis - is it time to re-evaluate tranexamic acid in epistaxis?. Clinical Otolaryngology, vol. 42(2), 439-442. link> doi>
  • Gilchrist FJ, Belcher J, Jones AM, Smith D, Smyth AR, Southern KW, Španěl P, Webb AK, Lenney W. 2015. Exhaled breath hydrogen cyanide as a marker of early Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection in children with cystic fibrosis. ERJ Open Res, vol. 1(2). link> doi> full text>
  • Rzewuska M, Mallen CD, Strauss VY, Belcher J, Peat G. 2015. One-year trajectories of depression and anxiety symptoms in older patients presenting in general practice with musculoskeletal pain: A latent class growth analysis. Journal of Psychosomatic Research, vol. 79(3), 195-201. link> doi> link>
  • Lacey RJ, Strauss VY, Rathod T, Belcher J, Croft PR, Natvig B, Wilkie R, McBeth J. 2015. Clustering of pain and its associations with health in people aged 50 years and older: cross-sectional results from the North Staffordshire Osteoarthritis Project. BMJ Open, vol. 5(11), e008389. link> doi> full text>
  • Patel N, Belcher J, Thorpe G, Forsyth NR, Spiteri MA. 2015. Measurement of C-reactive protein, procalcitonin and neutrophil elastase in saliva of COPD patients and healthy controls: correlation to self-reported wellbeing parameters. Respiratory research, vol. 16(1), 62. doi> full text>
  • Clarson LE, Hider SL, Belcher J, Heneghan C, Roddy E, Mallen CD. 2015. Increased risk of vascular disease associated with gout: a retrospective, matched cohort study in the UK clinical practice research datalink. Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases, vol. 74(4), 642-647. link> doi> full text>
  • Roughley MJ, Belcher J, Mallen CD, Roddy E. 2015. Gout and risk of chronic kidney disease and nephrolithiasis: meta-analysis of observational studies. Arthritis Res Ther, vol. 17, 90. link> doi> full text>
  • Clarson LE, Chandratre P, Hider SL, Belcher J, Heneghan C, Roddy E, Mallen CD. 2015. Increased cardiovascular mortality associated with gout: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Prev Cardiol, vol. 22(3), 335-343. link> doi> full text>
  • Sule-Suso J, Finney S, Bisson J, Hammersley S, Jassel S, Knight R, Hicks C, Sargeant S, Lam K-P, Belcher J, Collins D, Bhana R, Adab F, O'Donovan C, Moloney A. 2015. Pilot study on virtual imaging for patient information on radiotherapy planning and delivery. Radiography. doi> full text>
  • Clarson L, Hider SL, Belcher J, Heneghan C, Roddy E, Mallen CD. 2015. Response to: 'Risk of vascular disease with gout: overadjustment of the statistical analyses?' by van Durme et al. Ann Rheum Dis, vol. 74(1), e10. link> doi>
  • Muller S, Hider SL, Belcher J, Helliwell T, Mallen CD. 2014. Is cancer associated with polymyalgia rheumatica? A cohort study in the General Practice Research Database. Ann Rheum Dis, vol. 73(10), 1769-1773. link> doi> full text>
  • Hancock AT, Mallen CD, Muller S, Belcher J, Roddy E, Helliwell T, Hider SL. 2014. Risk of vascular events in patients with polymyalgia rheumatica. CMAJ, vol. 186(13), E495-E501. link> doi>
  • Lacey RJ, Belcher J, Rathod T, Wilkie R, Thomas E, McBeth J. 2014. Pain at multiple body sites and health-related quality of life in older adults: results from the North Staffordshire Osteoarthritis Project. Rheumatology (Oxford), vol. 53(11), 2071-2079. link> doi> full text>
  • Rathod T, Belcher J, Montgomery AA, Salisbury C, Foster NE. 2014. Health services changes: is a run-in period necessary before evaluation in randomised clinical trials?. Trials, vol. 15, 41. link> doi> full text>
  • Siddiqui I, Whittingham B, Meadowcroft K, Richardson M, Cooper JC, Belcher J, Morris E, Ismail KMK. 2014. Developing Objective Metrics for Unit Staffing (DOMUS) study. BMJ Open, vol. 4(9), e005398. link> doi>
  • Mallen CD, Thomas E, Belcher J, Rathod T, Croft P, Peat G. 2013. Point-of-Care Prognosis for Common Musculoskeletal Pain in Older Adults. JAMA Internal Medicine, vol. 173(12), 1119-1125. link> doi>
  • Mahmud A, Kettle C, Bick D, Rowley C, Rathod T, Belcher J, Abdel-Maguid M, Ismail K. 2013. The maternity perineal assessment and repair e-learning system (MaternityPEARLS): an internet based training package for the management of perineal trauma following childbirth. BJOG-AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OBSTETRICS AND GYNAECOLOGY, vol. 120, 323. link>
  • Kadam UT, Blagojevic M, Belcher J. 2013. Statin use and osteoarthritis. J Gen Intern Med. link> doi>
  • Mahmud A, Kettle C, Bick D, Rowley C, Rathod T, Belcher J, Abdelmaguid MM, Ismail KMK. 2013. The development and validation of an internet-based training package for the management of perineal trauma following childbirth: MaternityPEARLS. Postgrad Med J, vol. 89(1053), 382-389. link> doi>
  • Kadam UT, Blagojevic M, Belcher J. 2013. Statin use and clinical osteoarthritis in the general population: a longitudinal study. J Gen Intern Med, vol. 28(7), 943-949. link> doi> full text>
  • Cotton SJ, Belcher J, Rose P, Jagadeesan SK, Neal RD. 2013. The risk of a subsequent cancer diagnosis after herpes zoster infection: primary care database study. BRITISH JOURNAL OF CANCER, vol. 108(3), 721-726. link> doi>
  • Mallen CD, Thomas E, Belcher J, Rathod T, Croft P, Peat G. 2013. [FORTHCOMING] Point-of-care prognosis for common musculoskeletal pains in older adults. JAMA 2013. doi>
  • Gilchrist FJ, Sims H, Alcock A, Belcher J, Jones AM, Smith D, Spanel P, Webb AK, Lenney W. 2012. Quantification of hydrogen cyanide and 2-aminoacetophenone in the headspace of Pseudomonas aeruginosa cultured under biofilm and planktonic conditions. ANALYTICAL METHODS, vol. 4(11), 3661-3665. link> doi>
  • Hancock AT, Mallen CD, Belcher J, Hider SL. 2012. Association between polymyalgia rheumatica and vascular disease: a systematic review. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken), vol. 64(9), 1301-1305. link> doi>
  • Bedson J, Belcher J, Martino OI, Ndlovu M, Rathod T, Walters K, Dunn KM, Jordan KP. 2013. The effectiveness of national guidance in changing analgesic prescribing in primary care from 2002 to 2009: an observational database study. Eur J Pain, vol. 17(3), 434-443. link> doi>
  • Lacey RJ, Belcher J, Croft PR. 2012. Does life course socio-economic position influence chronic disabling pain in older adults? A general population study. The European Journal of Public Health. doi> full text>
  • Lacey RJ, Belcher J, Croft PR. 2012. Validity of two simple measures for estimating life-course socio-economic position in cross-sectional postal survey data in an older population: results from the North Staffordshire Osteoarthritis Project (NorStOP). BMC Medical Research Methodology, vol. 12, 88. doi> full text>
  • Roddy E, Myers H, Thomas MJ, Marshall M, D'Cruz D, Menz HB, Belcher J, Muller S, Peat G. 2011. The clinical assessment study of the foot (CASF): study protocol for a prospective observational study of foot pain and foot osteoarthritis in the general population. J Foot Ankle Res, vol. 4, 22. link> doi>
  • Williams NH, Amoakwa E, Belcher J, Edwards RT, Hassani H, Hendry M, Burton K, Lewis R, Hood K, Jones J, Bennett P, Linck P, Neal RD. 2011. Activity increase despite arthritis (AIDA): phase II randomised controlled trial of an active management booklet for hip and knee osteoarthritis in primary care. Br J Gen Pract, vol. 589(61), 452-458. doi>
  • Gilchrist FJ, Alcock A, Belcher J, Brady M, Jones A, Smith D, Spanĕl P, Webb K, Lenney W. 2011. Variation in hydrogen cyanide production between different strains of Pseudomonas aeruginosa. Eur Respir J, vol. 38(2), 409-414. link> doi>
  • Trivedi B, Marshall M, Belcher J, Roddy E. 2010. A systematic review of radiographic definitions of foot osteoarthritis in population-based studies. Osteoarthritis Cartilage, vol. 18(8), 1027-1035. link> doi>
  • Lawson VL, Bundy C, Belcher J, Harvey JN. 2010. Mediation by illness perceptions of the effect of personality and health threat communication on coping with the diagnosis of diabetes. British Journal of Health Psychology, vol. 15(3), 623-642.
  • Williams NH, Amoakwa E, Burton K, Hendry M, Belcher J, Lewis R, Hood K, Jones J, Bennett P, Edwards RT, Neal RD, Andrew G, Wilkinson C. 2009. Activity Increase Despite Arthritis (AIDA): design of a Phase II randomised controlled trial evaluating an active management booklet for hip and knee osteoarthritis [ISRCTN24554946]. BMC FAMILY PRACTICE, vol. 10, Article ARTN 62. link> doi>
  • Richards PJ, McCall IW, Day C, Belcher J, Maffulli N. 2010. Longitudinal microvascularity in Achilles tendinopathy (power Doppler ultrasound, magnetic resonance imaging time-intensity curves and the Victorian Institute of Sport Assessment-Achilles questionnaire): a pilot study. Skeletal Radiol, vol. 39(6), 509-521. link> doi>
  • McMaster P, Park DY, Shann F, Cochrane A, Morris K, Gray J, Cottrell S, Belcher J. 2009. Procalcitonin versus C-reactive protein and immature-to-total neutrophil ratio as markers of infection after cardiopulmonary bypass in children. Pediatr Crit Care Med, vol. 10(2), 217-221. link> doi>
  • Richards PJ, Pattison JM, Belcher J, Decann RW, Anderson S, Wynn-Jones C. 2009. A new tilt on pelvic radiographs: a pilot study. Skeletal Radiol, vol. 38(2), 113-122. link> doi>
  • Belcher J and Wilson GT. 2000. Time scale estimation by tracking parameter variation. JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, vol. 21(3), 237-248. link> doi>
  • Burge PS, Pantin CFA, Newton DT, Gannon PFG, Bright P, Belcher J, McCoach J, Baldwin DR, Burge CBSG, Grp MTSR. 1999. Development of an expert system for the interpretation of serial peak expiratory flow measurements in the diagnosis of occupational asthma. OCCUPATIONAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL MEDICINE, vol. 56(11), 758-764. link> doi>
  • Gannon PFG, Belcher J, Pantin CFA, Burge PS. 1999. The effect of patient technique and training on the accuracy of self-recorded peak expiratory flow. EUROPEAN RESPIRATORY JOURNAL, vol. 14(1), 28-31. link> doi>
  • Hacking S, Foreman D, Belcher J. 1996. The descriptive assessment for psychiatric art. A new way of quantifying paintings by psychiatric patients. J Nerv Ment Dis, vol. 184(7), 425-430. link> doi>
  • Henshaw C, Foreman D, Belcher J, Cox J, O'Brien S. 1996. Can one induce premenstrual symptomatology in women with prior hysterectomy and bilateral oophorectomy?. J Psychosom Obstet Gynaecol, vol. 17(1), 21-28. link> doi>
  • Chambers R and Belcher J. 1994. Predicting mental health problems in general practitioners. Occup Med (Lond), vol. 44(4), 212-216. link> doi>
  • BELCHER J, HAMPTON JS, WILSON GT. 1994. PARAMETERIZATION OF CONTINUOUS-TIME AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS FOR IRREGULARLY SAMPLED TIME-SERIES DATA. JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-METHODOLOGICAL, vol. 56(1), 141-155. link>
  • Chambers R and Belcher J. 1993. Work patterns of general practitioners before and after the introduction of the 1990 contract. Br J Gen Pract, vol. 43(375), 410-412. link>
  • HENSHAW C, OBRIEN S, FOREMAN D, COX J, BELCHER J. 1993. AN EXPERIMENTAL-MODEL FOR PREMENSTRUAL-SYNDROME. NEUROPSYCHOPHARMACOLOGY, vol. 9(2), S71. link>
  • Chambers R and Belcher J. 1993. Comparison of the health and lifestyle of general practitioners and teachers. Br J Gen Pract, vol. 43(374), 378-382. link>
  • TSANG KW, RUTMAN A, KANTHAKUMAR K, BELCHER J, LUND V, ROBERTS DE, READ RC, COLE PJ, WILSON R. 1993. HAEMOPHILUS-INFLUENZAE INFECTION OF HUMAN RESPIRATORY MUCOSA IN LOW CONCENTRATIONS OF ANTIBIOTICS. AMERICAN REVIEW OF RESPIRATORY DISEASE, vol. 148(1), 201-207. link> doi>
  • Chambers R and Belcher J. 1992. Self-reported health care over the past 10 years: a survey of general practitioners. Br J Gen Pract, vol. 42(357), 153-156. link>
  • Tsang KW, Bentley AM, Mann JS, Belcher J, Pantin CF. 1992. Survey of outpatient sputum cytology: influence of written instructions on sample quality and who benefits from investigation. Qual Health Care, vol. 1(1), 48-50. link> doi>
  • Belcher J. 2001. An overview of time series analysis. Nurse Res, vol. 9(1), 26-40. link> doi>
  • Belcher J. 2001. Nonparametric methods. Nurse Res, vol. 9(1), 17-25. link> doi>

Other

  • Patel N, Thorpe G, Jones P, Adamson V, Belcher J, Spiteri MA. 2016. LEVELS OF SALIVARY C-REACTIVE PROTEIN, PROCALCITONIN AND NEUTROPHIL ELASTASE CAN PREDICT EXACERBATIONS IN COPD AND DETERMINE THOSE PATIENTS AT HIGH RISK OF RE-EXACERBATION. THORAX (vol. 71, pp. A39-A40). link> doi>
  • Paskins Z, Jinks C, Mahmood W, Jayakumar P, Sangan C, Belcher J, Gwilym S. 2016. PUBLIC PRIORITY SETTING FOR RESEARCH IN OSTEOPOROSIS AND FRACTURE: RESULTS FROM A NATIONAL E-SURVEY. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL (vol. 27, p. 629). link>
  • Hider S, Morton C, Muller S, Belcher J, Gilbert K, Bucknall M, Mallen C. 2016. PATIENT PRIORITIES FOR PMR RESEARCH: A PRIMARY CARE SURVEY. ANNALS OF THE RHEUMATIC DISEASES (vol. 75, p. 169). link> doi>
  • Simons G, Belcher J, Morton C, Kumar K, Falahee M, Mallen CD, Stack RJ, Raza K. 2016. SYMPTOM RECOGNITION AND ITS EFFECT ON HELP-SEEKING IN RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS, BOWEL CANCER AND ANGINA: A MIXED METHODS APPROACH. ANNALS OF THE RHEUMATIC DISEASES (vol. 75, p. 455). link> doi>
  • Mangat NS, Raza K, Clarkson K, Stack R, Mallen C, Belcher J, Hider S. 2016. CHALLENGES FACED IN PRIMARY CARE DURING THE EARLY STAGES OF RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS: A CROSS-SECTIONAL SURVEY OF GENERAL PRACTITIONERS. RHEUMATOLOGY (vol. 55, p. 78). link>
  • Evans PL, Prior JA, Mallen CD, Belcher J, Roddy E. 2016. OBESITY, HYPERTENSION AND DIURETIC USE AS RISK FACTORS FOR INCIDENT GOUT: A META-ANALYSIS OF COHORT STUDIES. RHEUMATOLOGY (vol. 55, p. 80). link>
  • Simons G, Belcher J, Kumar K, Falahee M, Mallen CD, Stack R, Raza K. 2016. THE IMPACT OF SYMPTOM RECOGNITION ON HELP-SEEKING: A COMPARISON BETWEEN RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS, BOWEL CANCER AND ANGINA. RHEUMATOLOGY (vol. 55, p. 44). link>
  • Ukachukwu V, Belcher J, Marshall M, Stefanik JJ, Crossley KM, Thomas MJ, Peat G. 2016. COMPARATIVE FREQUENCY OF MEDIAL VERSUS LATERAL COMPARTMENT PATELLOFEMORAL JOINT OSTEOARTHRITIS AND ASSOCIATIONS WITH RISK FACTORS AND CLINICAL OUTCOMES: CROSS-SECTIONAL ANALYSES IN AN ADULT POPULATION WITH KNEE PAIN. OSTEOARTHRITIS AND CARTILAGE (vol. 24, p. S193). link> doi>
  • Clarson LE, Hider SL, Belcher J, Roddy E, Heneghan C, Mallen CD. 2015. GOUT AND RISK OF SUBSEQUENT VASCULAR EVENT: A DISCRETE-TIME EVENT HISTORY ANALYSIS IN THE CLINICAL PRACTICE RESEARCH DATALINK. RHEUMATOLOGY (vol. 54, p. 38). link> doi>
  • Patel N, Jones P, Adamson V, Thorpe G, Belcher J, Spiteri M. 2014. EVALUATION OF SALIVA BIOMARKERS AS INDICATORS OF HEALTH STATUS AND EXACERBATIONS IN COPD. THORAX (vol. 69, pp. A102-A103). link> doi>
  • Gilchrist FJ, Belcher J, Jones AM, Smith D, Smyth A, Southern KW, Spanel P, Webb AK, Lenney W. 2014. THE INCIDENCE OF NEW PSEUDOMONAS AERUGINOSA INFECTION IN CHILDREN WITH CYSTIC FIBROSIS. THORAX (vol. 69, pp. A162-A163). link> doi>
  • Ellerby N, Hider S, Mallen C, Belcher J, Roddy E. 2014. DOES INTRA-ARTICULAR CORTICOSTEROID INJECTION IN THE PRE-OPERATIVE PERIOD INCREASE THE RISK OF JOINT INFECTION FOLLOWING HIP OR KNEE ARTHROPLASTY? A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS. RHEUMATOLOGY (vol. 53, p. 132). link>
  • Clarson LE, Hider SL, Belcher J, Heneghan C, Roddy E, Mallen CD. 2013. GOUT IS AN INDEPENDENT RISK FACTOR FOR ALL TYPES OF VASCULAR DISEASE: A RETROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY IN THE UK GENERAL PRACTICE RESEARCH DATABASE. RHEUMATOLOGY (vol. 52, pp. 38-39). link>
  • Muller S, Mallen CD, Belcher J, Helliwell T, Hider SL. 2013. THE RISK OF A SUBSEQUENT CANCER DIAGNOSIS AFTER PMR: A PRIMARY CARE DATABASE STUDY. RHEUMATOLOGY (vol. 52, p. 40). link>
  • Rzewuska M, Mallen C, Strauss VY, Belcher J, Peat G. 2012. THE COURSE OF COMORBID ANXIETY SYMPTOMS IN PATIENTS PRESENTING TO GENERAL PRACTICE WITH SYMPTOMATIC OSTEOARTHRITIS: LATENT CLASS GROWTH ANALYSIS. RHEUMATOLOGY (vol. 51, pp. 110-111). link>
  • Lacey RJ, Belcher J, Croft PR. 2010. INFLUENCE OF LIFE-COURSE SOCIO-ECONOMIC POSITION ON PAIN INTERFERENCE IN A PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY OF OLDER ADULTS. JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY AND COMMUNITY HEALTH (vol. 64, pp. A41-A42). link> doi>
  • Lacey RJ, Belcher J, Croft PR. 2010. VALIDITY AND RELIABILITY OF TWO INDICATORS OF SOCIOECONOMIC POSITION IN A POPULATION SURVEY OF OLDER ADULTS. JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY AND COMMUNITY HEALTH (vol. 64, p. A45). link> doi>
  • Price R, Carroll WD, Belcher J, Lenney W. 2004. Review of Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection within a single CF centre. THORAX (vol. 59, p. 78). link>
  • Belcher J. 1998. Tests for menstrual synchrony and association with a mood indicator. JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL PSYCHOLOGY (vol. 42, p. 521). link>
  • Potts J, Belcher J, Sim J, Roffe C. 2015. Methods for modeling stroke outcome data over time. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF STROKE (vol. 10, p. 168). link>

I am currently responsible for MAT-30014 Medical Statistics but have plans to develop other statistical modules. On Monday and Wednesday I usually am in the Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, but in the Maths office Tuesday, Thursday, Friday.

Third Year Tutor Team